Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.64 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.64Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAurora to win ✗68% · @1.64
Double chanceAurora or draw ✓89% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.64
Aurora vs Real Potosí preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Aurora take on Real Potosí on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 22:15 (WAT). Aurora are 6th with 36 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Real Potosí sit 5th on 40 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Aurora's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Real Potosí's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat ABB 3–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Potosí arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Aurora and 0.7 for Real Potosí. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aurora 68%, draw 22%, Real Potosí 11%.
Safer route: Aurora or draw (89%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aurora to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.64, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aurora 2–0 Real Potosí. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aurora68%fair 1.48 · @1.64
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.80
Real Potosí11%fair 9.25 · @4.50
2.80Expected goals
2.07Aurora xG
0.72Real Potosí xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Aurora 2.1 – 0.7 Real Potosí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aurora to win✗
68%
1.48
1.64 ▲
Double chance
Aurora or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Half-time result
Aurora ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aurora / FT Aurora✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.64
–
Form
Aurora – last 6
WLLDDW
18 Aug
@ San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Blooming
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs Bolívar
2–4
L
4 Aug
@ Independiente Petrolero
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ The Strongest
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs ABB
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Potosí – last 6
WDWWDL
19 Aug
@ ABB
3–2
W
16 Aug
@ Always Ready
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Blooming
2–0
W
6 Aug
@ Universitario de Vinto
2–0
W
2 Aug
vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ Bolívar
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aurora and Real Potosí.
Our pick is Aurora to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.64.
Who will win Aurora vs Real Potosí?
On our numbers Aurora have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Potosí 11%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Real Potosí?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Real Potosí?
Our predicted score is Aurora 2–0 Real Potosí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Aurora vs Real Potosí?
Aurora vs Real Potosí (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 22:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
