Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Plaza Colonia to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFenix to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.29
Fenix vs Plaza Colonia preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Fenix take on Plaza Colonia on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Parque Capurro. Fenix are 11th with 31 points from 25 games (in the bottom half), while Plaza Colonia sit 4th on 38 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Fenix's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with La Luz 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Plaza Colonia's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Rentistas 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Fenix and 1.1 for Plaza Colonia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fenix 38%, draw 25%, Plaza Colonia 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Plaza Colonia to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Fenix 1–1 Plaza Colonia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fenix38%fair 2.62 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Plaza Colonia37%fair 2.74 · @3.00
2.24Expected goals
1.14Fenix xG
1.11Plaza Colonia xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.1 – 1.1 Plaza Colonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenix to win✗
38%
2.62
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fenix / FT Fenix✗
21%
4.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.29
–
Form
Fenix – last 6
DDWLWL
8 Aug
vs La Luz
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Cerrito
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Atenas
1–0
W
13 Jul
@ Paysandu
0–1
L
5 Jul
vs Sportivo Huracan
2–0
W
27 Jun
@ Uruguay Montevideo
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Plaza Colonia – last 6
DWWLWL
10 Aug
@ Rentistas
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Miramar
3–0
W
25 Jul
@ Tacuarembo
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ CA River Plate
2–3
L
4 Jul
vs La Luz
1–0
W
28 Jun
@ Cerrito
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fenix and Plaza Colonia.
What is the prediction for Fenix vs Plaza Colonia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Fenix vs Plaza Colonia?
On our numbers Fenix have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Plaza Colonia 37%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Plaza Colonia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Plaza Colonia?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Plaza Colonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Plaza Colonia?
Fenix vs Plaza Colonia (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
