Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Rentistas to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRentistas to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceRentistas or draw ✗82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.96
Rentistas vs Tacuarembo preview and prediction
The match
Rentistas host Tacuarembo in the Segunda División on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Complejo Rentistas. Rentistas are 2nd with 40 points from 25 games (in the top four), while Tacuarembo sit 13th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rentistas's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Plaza Colonia 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Tacuarembo's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Miramar 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Rentistas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Rentistas and 0.7 for Tacuarembo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Rentistas to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rentistas or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Rentistas 1–0 Tacuarembo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rentistas59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Tacuarembo18%fair 5.41 · @3.75
2.20Expected goals
1.52Rentistas xG
0.68Tacuarembo xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Rentistas 1.5 – 0.7 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rentistas to win✗
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Rentistas or draw✗
82%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rentistas / FT Rentistas✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.96
–
Form
Rentistas – last 6
DWDWLW
10 Aug
vs Plaza Colonia
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ La Luz
5–2
W
18 Jul
vs Cerrito
0–0
D
12 Jul
@ Atenas
3–1
W
4 Jul
vs Paysandu
1–2
L
27 Jun
@ Sportivo Huracan
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tacuarembo – last 6
DLLDLW
9 Aug
@ Miramar
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Plaza Colonia
0–2
L
13 Jul
@ La Luz
0–2
L
5 Jul
vs Cerrito
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Atenas
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Paysandu
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rentistas and Tacuarembo.
What is the prediction for Rentistas vs Tacuarembo?
Our pick is Rentistas or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rentistas vs Tacuarembo?
On our numbers Rentistas have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tacuarembo 18%.
How many goals will there be in Rentistas vs Tacuarembo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rentistas vs Tacuarembo?
Our predicted score is Rentistas 1–0 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Rentistas vs Tacuarembo?
Rentistas vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Rentistas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
