Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Gemert vs FC Lisse preview and prediction
The match
Gemert host FC Lisse in the Derde Divisie Saturday on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Gemert are 9th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while FC Lisse sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gemert's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Groene Ster 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.
FC Lisse's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with EVV 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Gemert arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Gemert 1–1 FC Lisse.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Gemert and 1.4 for FC Lisse. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gemert 40%, draw 21%, FC Lisse 38%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Gemert 2–1 FC Lisse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gemert40%fair 2.48 · @2.35
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.60
FC Lisse38%fair 2.62 · @2.50
2.93Expected goals
1.49Gemert xG
1.44FC Lisse xG
54%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Gemert 1.5 – 1.4 FC Lisse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Gemert vs FC Lisse?
On our numbers Gemert have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Lisse 38%.
How many goals will there be in Gemert vs FC Lisse?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gemert vs FC Lisse?
Our predicted score is Gemert 2–1 FC Lisse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Gemert vs FC Lisse?
Gemert vs FC Lisse (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.