Derde Divisie Saturday · NetherlandsPurmersteijn vs ADO '20 prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Purmersteijn 1.7 – 1.6 ADO '20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Purmersteijn and ADO '20 on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Purmersteijn have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. ADO '20 have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.7 for Purmersteijn, 1.6 for ADO '20). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.57.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Purmersteijn to win ✓ | 42% | 2.36 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.87 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 37% | 2.70 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Purmersteijn / FT Purmersteijn ✗ | 25% | 4.01 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 9% | 11.70 | – |
Form
Purmersteijn – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Excelsior '31 | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Dovo | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Sep | vs Zwaluw VFC | 4–3 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Hoogeveen | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Sportlust '46 | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs VV Scherpenzeel | 3–1 | W |
ADO '20 – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs VV Scherpenzeel | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ SVZW | 6–4 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Excelsior Maassluis | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Staphorst | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Eemdijk | 1–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Hercules | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Purmersteijn and ADO '20.
Derde Divisie Saturday table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ACV | 12 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 12 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Harkemase Boys | 12 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  TEC | 12 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 12 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hercules | 12 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 |  Hoogeveen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 12 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 12 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 12 | -13 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 12 | -21 | 1 |
| 1 |  FC Lisse | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 |  Noordwijk | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 12 | +16 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zwaluwen | 12 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 |  Poortugaal | 12 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  UDI '19 | 12 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |  GOES | 12 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dongen | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Roosendaal | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  UNA | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Vvsb | 12 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Groene Ster | 12 | -17 | 9 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 12 | -20 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 12 | -14 | 3 |
More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Purmersteijn vs ADO '20?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Purmersteijn vs ADO '20?
On our numbers Purmersteijn have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ADO '20 37%.
How many goals will there be in Purmersteijn vs ADO '20?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Purmersteijn vs ADO '20?
Purmersteijn vs ADO '20 (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.