Derde Divisie Saturday · NetherlandsHercules vs TEC prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hercules 2.0 – 2.0 TEC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Hercules and TEC on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Hercules have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 3.2 per game. TEC have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.8 scored and 2.3 conceded. TEC come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.0 goals (2.0 for Hercules, 2.0 for TEC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (7%), 1–2 (7%), 2–1 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is better than our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | TEC to win ✓ | 40% | 2.49 | 2.55 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Half-time result | TEC ahead at half-time ✓ | 34% | 2.97 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT TEC / FT TEC ✓ | 25% | 4.07 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 7% | 13.41 | – |
Form
Hercules – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Sparta Nijkerk | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs ACV | 0–3 | L |
| 2 Sep | vs EVV | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Harkemase Boys | 3–5 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs SC Genemuiden | 0–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | @ ADO '20 | 1–3 | L |
TEC – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs DVS 33 Ermelo | 4–4 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Hollandia | 5–4 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Almkerk | 4–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Sportlust '46 | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Sparta Nijkerk | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ ACV | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hercules and TEC.
Derde Divisie Saturday table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ACV | 12 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 12 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Harkemase Boys | 12 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  TEC | 12 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 12 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hercules | 12 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 |  Hoogeveen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 12 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 12 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 12 | -13 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 12 | -21 | 1 |
| 1 |  FC Lisse | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 |  Noordwijk | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 12 | +16 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zwaluwen | 12 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 |  Poortugaal | 12 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  UDI '19 | 12 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |  GOES | 12 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dongen | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Roosendaal | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  UNA | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Vvsb | 12 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Groene Ster | 12 | -17 | 9 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 12 | -20 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 12 | -14 | 3 |
More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hercules vs TEC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Hercules vs TEC?
On our numbers Hercules have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and TEC 40%.
How many goals will there be in Hercules vs TEC?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Hercules vs TEC?
Hercules vs TEC (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.