Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.61
Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31 preview and prediction
The match
Hoogeveen host Excelsior '31 in the Derde Divisie Saturday on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Hoogeveen are 12th with 14 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Excelsior '31 sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Hoogeveen's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Dovo 4–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Excelsior '31's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Purmersteijn 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Excelsior '31 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.8 for Hoogeveen and 2.1 for Excelsior '31. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Hoogeveen 1–2 Excelsior '31. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hoogeveen36%fair 2.78 · @2.40
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @4.00
Excelsior '3146%fair 2.16 · @2.25
3.92Expected goals
1.83Hoogeveen xG
2.09Excelsior '31 xG
60%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Hoogeveen 1.8 – 2.1 Excelsior '31 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Excelsior '31 to win✓
46%
2.16
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Excelsior '31 ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Excelsior '31 / FT Excelsior '31✓
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.61
–
Form
Hoogeveen – last 6
WDDLLW
12 Sep
@ Dovo
4–1
W
5 Sep
@ Sportlust '46
2–2
D
2 Sep
vs SVZW
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Purmersteijn
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ VV Scherpenzeel
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs SVZW
4–3
W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Excelsior '31 – last 6
DLWWWW
12 Sep
vs Purmersteijn
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ VV Scherpenzeel
1–3
L
1 Sep
@ Harkemase Boys
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs SVZW
4–0
W
22 Aug
@ Staphorst
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Eemdijk
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hoogeveen and Excelsior '31.
What is the prediction for Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31?
On our numbers Hoogeveen have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Excelsior '31 46%.
How many goals will there be in Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31?
Our predicted score is Hoogeveen 1–2 Excelsior '31, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31?
Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31 (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
