Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVvsb to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Groene Ster vs Vvsb preview and prediction
The match
Groene Ster host Vvsb in the Derde Divisie Saturday on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT). Groene Ster are 16th with 9 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Vvsb sit 15th on 11 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Groene Ster's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Excelsior Maassluis 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Vvsb's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to UDI '19 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.1 for Groene Ster and 1.9 for Vvsb. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Groene Ster 25%, draw 16%, Vvsb 60%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vvsb to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Groene Ster 1–2 Vvsb. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Groene Ster25%fair 4.06 · @3.75
Draw16%fair 6.33 · @4.10
Vvsb60%fair 1.68 · @1.67
2.99Expected goals
1.09Groene Ster xG
1.90Vvsb xG
51%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Groene Ster 1.1 – 1.9 Vvsb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vvsb to win✗
60%
1.68
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Vvsb ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vvsb / FT Vvsb✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Groene Ster – last 6
LLWLLW
22 Aug
@ Excelsior Maassluis
1–3
L
16 Aug
vs Roosendaal
1–3
L
23 May
vs ASWH
3–1
W
6 Apr
@ Blauw Geel
0–4
L
15 Mar
@ Roosendaal
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs GOES
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Vvsb – last 5
LWLDW
22 Aug
vs UDI '19
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Poortugaal
1–0
W
30 May
@ Excelsior Maassluis
0–3
L
27 May
vs Excelsior Maassluis
1–1
D
10 May
@ Gemert
1–0
W
0.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Groene Ster and Vvsb.
Our pick is Vvsb to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Groene Ster vs Vvsb?
On our numbers Groene Ster have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Vvsb 60%.
How many goals will there be in Groene Ster vs Vvsb?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Groene Ster vs Vvsb?
Our predicted score is Groene Ster 1–2 Vvsb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Groene Ster vs Vvsb?
Groene Ster vs Vvsb (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
