Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Roosendaal to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoosendaal to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Groene Ster vs Roosendaal preview and prediction
The match
Groene Ster host Roosendaal in the Derde Divisie Saturday on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT). Groene Ster are 16th with 9 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Roosendaal sit 13th on 11 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Groene Ster's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat ASWH 3–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Roosendaal's last 4: WDWD Most recently they beat Blauw Geel 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Roosendaal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Roosendaal 3–0 Groene Ster.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.2 for Groene Ster and 2.0 for Roosendaal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Roosendaal to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Groene Ster 1–2 Roosendaal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Groene Ster23%fair 4.39 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.75
Roosendaal56%fair 1.78 · @1.91
3.22Expected goals
1.21Groene Ster xG
2.02Roosendaal xG
51%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Groene Ster 1.2 – 2.0 Roosendaal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Groene Ster vs Roosendaal?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Groene Ster vs Roosendaal?
On our numbers Groene Ster have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Roosendaal 56%.
How many goals will there be in Groene Ster vs Roosendaal?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Groene Ster vs Roosendaal?
Our predicted score is Groene Ster 1–2 Roosendaal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Groene Ster vs Roosendaal?
Groene Ster vs Roosendaal (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
