Value bet: Foolad FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFoolad FC to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceFoolad FC or draw ✓82% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.07
Foolad FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin preview and prediction
The match
Foolad FC host Shams Azar Qazvin in the Persian Gulf Pro League on Wednesday 19 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Foolad Arena. Foolad FC are 4th with 23 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Shams Azar Qazvin sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Foolad FC's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with ZOB Ahan 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shams Azar Qazvin's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Persepolis FC 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Foolad FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished Shams Azar Qazvin 0–2 Foolad FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.1 for Foolad FC and 0.4 for Shams Azar Qazvin. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Foolad FC to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.38, above our fair price of 1.35, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Foolad FC 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Foolad FC58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.95
Shams Azar Qazvin18%fair 5.64 · @4.40
1.51Expected goals
1.11Foolad FC xG
0.40Shams Azar Qazvin xG
42%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–025%
0–022%
2–014%
1–110%
0–19%
2–15%
From our goals model: Foolad FC 1.1 – 0.4 Shams Azar Qazvin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Foolad FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Foolad FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
On our numbers Foolad FC have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shams Azar Qazvin 18%.
How many goals will there be in Foolad FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Foolad FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our predicted score is Foolad FC 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Foolad FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Foolad FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Foolad Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
