Value bet: Sanat Naft to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFajr Sepasi to win ✗38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82
Fajr Sepasi vs Sanat Naft preview and prediction
The match
Sanat Naft travel to face Fajr Sepasi in the Persian Gulf Pro League on Wednesday 19 August (17:00 WAT). Fajr Sepasi are 7th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Sanat Naft sit 16th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Fajr Sepasi's last 4: DLWL Most recently they drew with Kheybar Khorramabad 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sanat Naft's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Malavan 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sanat Naft arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Fajr Sepasi and 0.9 for Sanat Naft. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fajr Sepasi 38%, draw 27%, Sanat Naft 35%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Sanat Naft to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fajr Sepasi 0–0 Sanat Naft. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fajr Sepasi38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @2.65
Sanat Naft35%fair 2.86 · @3.10
1.89Expected goals
0.97Fajr Sepasi xG
0.92Sanat Naft xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fajr Sepasi 1.0 – 0.9 Sanat Naft expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fajr Sepasi to win✗
38%
2.66
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Form
Fajr Sepasi – last 4
DLWL
14 Aug
@ Kheybar Khorramabad
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Esteghlal FC
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Esteghlal Khuzestan
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Sanat Naft – last 6
DWWWDD
15 Aug
vs Malavan
1–1
D
16 Jul
@ Niroye Zamini
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs Mes Kerman
1–0
W
3 Jul
@ Navad Urmia
4–1
W
27 Jun
@ Naft Bandar Abbas
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs Shahrdari Noshahr
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fajr Sepasi and Sanat Naft.
What is the prediction for Fajr Sepasi vs Sanat Naft?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fajr Sepasi vs Sanat Naft?
On our numbers Fajr Sepasi have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sanat Naft 35%.
How many goals will there be in Fajr Sepasi vs Sanat Naft?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fajr Sepasi vs Sanat Naft?
Our predicted score is Fajr Sepasi 0–0 Sanat Naft, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Fajr Sepasi vs Sanat Naft?
Fajr Sepasi vs Sanat Naft (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
