Tercera División RFEF Group 18 · Spain
Tarancón
La Solana
Tarancón vs La Solana prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.09 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tarancón 1.8 – 0.7 La Solana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Tarancón are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 17% for La Solana.
Tarancón have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. La Solana have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. Tarancón come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Tarancón, 0.7 for La Solana). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.34. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.09 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tarancón to win ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.43 |
| Double chance | Tarancón or draw ✗ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 2.09 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Tarancón ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Tarancón / FT Tarancón ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.86 | – |
Form
Tarancón – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Noblejas | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Villarrubia | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Quintanar del Rey | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Socuéllamos | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Marchamalo | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Guadalajara II | 6–2 | W |
La Solana – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Guadalajara II | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ CD Villa | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Torrijos | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Illescas | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Villarrobledo | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Toledo | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tarancón and La Solana.
More Tercera División RFEF Group 18 predictions
Villarrobledo0
San Clemente2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
69%@1.35
✓
FT
Illescas1
Almansa0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
73%@1.25
✗
FT
Quintanar del Rey1
Villarrubia2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
69%@1.37
✓
FT
Toledo2
Marchamalo0
1Toledo to win
74%@1.22
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tarancón vs La Solana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tarancón vs La Solana?
On our numbers Tarancón have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and La Solana 17%.
How many goals will there be in Tarancón vs La Solana?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Tarancón vs La Solana?
Tarancón vs La Solana (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.