Tercera División RFEF Group 18 · Spain
Quintanar del Rey
Villarrubia
Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrubia prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.37 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Quintanar del Rey 1.2 – 1.4 Villarrubia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Quintanar del Rey and Villarrubia on our numbers – 34% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Quintanar del Rey have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. Villarrubia have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. Villarrubia come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.2 for Quintanar del Rey, 1.4 for Villarrubia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.37 is close to our fair price of 1.44. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.90 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Villarrubia to win ✓ | 41% | 2.43 | 2.59 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.27 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.90 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.37 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.15 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Villarrubia / FT Villarrubia ✓ | 23% | 4.28 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 9.65 | – |
Form
Quintanar del Rey – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Marchamalo | 3–3 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ Socuéllamos | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Tarancón | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Guadalajara II | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs CD Villa | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Torrijos | 0–2 | L |
Villarrubia – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Socuéllamos | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Tarancón | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Guadalajara II | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ CD Villa | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Torrijos | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Illescas | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quintanar del Rey and Villarrubia.
More Tercera División RFEF Group 18 predictions
Tarancón0
La Solana2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.22
✓
FT
Villarrobledo0
San Clemente2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
69%@1.35
✓
FT
Illescas1
Almansa0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
73%@1.25
✗
FT
Toledo2
Marchamalo0
1Toledo to win
74%@1.22
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrubia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrubia?
On our numbers Quintanar del Rey have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Villarrubia 41%.
How many goals will there be in Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrubia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrubia?
Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrubia (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.