Tercera División RFEF Group 18 · Spain

Illescas

LLLWW
1–0
FT

Almansa

DLDWL

Illescas vs Almansa prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultIllescas to win ✓62% · @1.61
Double chanceIllescas or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.54

Win chances

Illescas62%fair 1.61 · @1.61
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.46
Almansa17%fair 6.06 · @4.70
2.62Expected goals
1.82Illescas xG
0.80Almansa xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Illescas 1.8 – 0.8 Almansa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Illescas are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 17% for Almansa.

Illescas have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Almansa have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Illescas, 0.8 for Almansa). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.37.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIllescas to win ✓62%1.611.61
Double chanceIllescas or draw ✓83%1.201.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.931.82
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.371.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.26
Half-time resultIllescas ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Illescas / FT Illescas ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13%7.54–

Form

Illescas – last 6

LLLWWW
1 Nov@ Manchego1–4L
25 Octvs Huracán Balazote0–1L
17 Oct@ Villacañas3–4L
11 Octvs La Solana1–0W
3 Oct@ Noblejas2–1W
27 Sepvs Villarrubia2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Almansa – last 6

DLDWLW
1 Novvs Villarrobledo1–1D
25 Oct@ Toledo0–2L
18 Octvs San Clemente1–1D
10 Octvs Marchamalo3–1W
4 Oct@ Manchego0–1L
27 Sepvs Huracán Balazote3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Illescas and Almansa.

More Tercera División RFEF Group 18 predictions

FT Tarancón0 La Solana2 651817 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓ FT Villarrobledo0 San Clemente2 602614 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.35 ✓ FT Quintanar del Rey1 Villarrubia2 342441 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.37 ✓ FT Toledo2 Marchamalo0 74197 1Toledo to win 74%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Illescas vs Almansa?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Illescas vs Almansa?

On our numbers Illescas have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Almansa 17%.

How many goals will there be in Illescas vs Almansa?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

When is Illescas vs Almansa?

Illescas vs Almansa (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.