Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Almansa vs Marchamalo preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 18 sees Almansa take on Marchamalo on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Almansa are 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Marchamalo sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Almansa's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Manchego 0–1 away. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Marchamalo's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Tarancón 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Almansa and 1.3 for Marchamalo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Almansa 1–1 Marchamalo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almansa45%fair 2.24 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
Marchamalo34%fair 2.98 · @2.88
2.76Expected goals
1.50Almansa xG
1.26Marchamalo xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Almansa 1.5 – 1.3 Marchamalo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almansa to win✓
45%
2.24
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almansa / FT Almansa✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.51
–
Form
Almansa – last 5
LWDWL
4 Oct
@ Manchego
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Huracán Balazote
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Villacañas
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs La Solana
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Noblejas
2–3
L
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Marchamalo – last 6
DLDWWW
3 Oct
vs Tarancón
2–2
D
27 Sep
@ Manchego
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Guadalajara II
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Huracán Balazote
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs CD Villa
2–0
W
30 Aug
vs Unión Adarve
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almansa and Marchamalo.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Almansa vs Marchamalo?
On our numbers Almansa have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Marchamalo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Almansa vs Marchamalo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almansa vs Marchamalo?
Our predicted score is Almansa 1–1 Marchamalo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Almansa vs Marchamalo?
Almansa vs Marchamalo (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
