Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultValle Egüés to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.76
Valle Egüés vs Aoiz preview and prediction
The match
Aoiz travel to face Valle Egüés in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 on Saturday 3 October (14:30 WAT). Valle Egüés are 4th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Aoiz sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Valle Egüés's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Cantolagua 3–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Aoiz's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Gazte Berriak 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Valle Egüés and 1.0 for Aoiz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valle Egüés 59%, draw 19%, Aoiz 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Valle Egüés to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Valle Egüés 1–0 Aoiz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valle Egüés59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.50
Aoiz22%fair 4.49 · @3.25
2.75Expected goals
1.79Valle Egüés xG
0.96Aoiz xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Valle Egüés 1.8 – 1.0 Aoiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valle Egüés to win✗
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Valle Egüés ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valle Egüés / FT Valle Egüés✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.76
–
Form
Valle Egüés – last 6
WDLDWL
27 Sep
@ Cantolagua
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Mutilvera
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Subiza
2–5
L
5 Sep
vs Beti Onak
2–2
D
28 Aug
@ Beasain
3–2
W
26 Apr
@ Subiza
1–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Aoiz – last 6
DDWDDD
26 Sep
vs Gazte Berriak
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Huarte
0–0
D
11 Sep
vs Doneztebe FT
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Pamplona
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Beti Kozkor
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Pamplona
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valle Egüés and Aoiz.
Our pick is Valle Egüés to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Valle Egüés vs Aoiz?
On our numbers Valle Egüés have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aoiz 22%.
How many goals will there be in Valle Egüés vs Aoiz?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valle Egüés vs Aoiz?
Our predicted score is Valle Egüés 1–0 Aoiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Valle Egüés vs Aoiz?
Valle Egüés vs Aoiz (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
