Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIzarra to win ✓62% · @1.70
Double chanceIzarra or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Cortes vs Izarra preview and prediction
The match
Cortes host Izarra in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Cortes are 17th with 6 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Izarra sit 1st on 26 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cortes's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Pamplona 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Izarra's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Beti Kozkor 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Izarra arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.1 for Cortes and 2.2 for Izarra. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cortes 17%, draw 21%, Izarra 62%.
Safer route: Izarra or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Izarra or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cortes 1–2 Izarra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cortes17%fair 6.06 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Izarra62%fair 1.61 · @1.70
3.25Expected goals
1.06Cortes xG
2.19Izarra xG
51%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Cortes 1.1 – 2.2 Izarra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Izarra to win✓
62%
1.61
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Izarra or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Izarra ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Izarra / FT Izarra✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
Cortes – last 6
DLWLDW
26 Sep
vs Pamplona
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Beti Kozkor
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Bidezarra
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ San Juan
0–5
L
2 Apr
vs San Juan
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Avance Ezcabarte
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Izarra – last 6
WWWWLD
26 Sep
vs Beti Kozkor
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Bidezarra
4–0
W
12 Sep
vs San Juan
4–1
W
5 Sep
@ Cirbonero
4–0
W
6 Jun
@ Pamplona
1–5
L
30 May
vs Pamplona
1–1
D
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cortes and Izarra.
Our pick is Izarra or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cortes vs Izarra?
On our numbers Cortes have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Izarra 62%.
How many goals will there be in Cortes vs Izarra?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cortes vs Izarra?
Our predicted score is Cortes 1–2 Izarra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Cortes vs Izarra?
Cortes vs Izarra (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
