Tercera División RFEF Group 14 · SpainVillanovense vs Azuaga prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Villanovense 1.2 – 1.3 Azuaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Villanovense and Azuaga on our numbers – 34% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Villanovense have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Azuaga have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. Azuaga come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Villanovense, 1.3 for Azuaga). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.90.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Azuaga to win ✗ | 40% | 2.51 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Azuaga / FT Azuaga ✗ | 23% | 4.39 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.29 | – |
Form
Villanovense – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Cabeza Buey | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Montijo | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Villafranca | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Llerenense | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Moralo | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Jul | vs Cacereño | 0–2 | L |
Azuaga – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs Guadiana | 4–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Jerez | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Cabeza Buey | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Montijo | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Villafranca | 4–1 | W |
| 17 May | vs Moralo | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villanovense and Azuaga.
Tercera División RFEF Group 14 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Azuaga | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Llerenense | 10 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Moralo | 10 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Castuera | 10 | +12 | 20 |
| 5 |  Villanovense | 10 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Puebla Calzada | 10 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 |  CD Zafra | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Cabeza Buey | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Quintana | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villafranca | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Jaraíz | 10 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Santa Amalia | 10 | +2 | 12 |
| 13 |  Gévora | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 |  Jerez | 10 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |  Plasencia | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Montijo | 10 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Atlético Pueblonuevo | 10 | -15 | 4 |
| 18 |  Guadiana | 10 | -26 | 1 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 14 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Villanovense vs Azuaga?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Villanovense vs Azuaga?
On our numbers Villanovense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Azuaga 40%.
How many goals will there be in Villanovense vs Azuaga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Villanovense vs Azuaga?
Villanovense vs Azuaga (Tercera División RFEF Group 14) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.