Tercera División RFEF Group 14 · SpainGévora vs Llerenense prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gévora 1.1 – 1.1 Llerenense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Gévora and Llerenense on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Gévora have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Llerenense have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.1 for Gévora, 1.1 for Llerenense). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (12%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.75.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Llerenense to win ✓ | 39% | 2.59 | 2.62 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.23 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Llerenense / FT Llerenense ✗ | 21% | 4.78 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.07 | – |
Form
Gévora – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Moralo | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Atlético Pueblonuevo | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Quintana | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Plasencia | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Castuera | 0–5 | L |
| 26 Apr | @ Montijo | 1–0 | W |
Llerenense – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ CD Zafra | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Jaraíz | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Villanovense | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Guadiana | 1–0 | W |
| 1 May | @ Puebla Calzada | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Apr | @ Montehermoso | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gévora and Llerenense.
Tercera División RFEF Group 14 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Azuaga | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Llerenense | 10 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Moralo | 10 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Castuera | 10 | +12 | 20 |
| 5 |  Villanovense | 10 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Puebla Calzada | 10 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 |  CD Zafra | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Cabeza Buey | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Quintana | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villafranca | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Jaraíz | 10 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Santa Amalia | 10 | +2 | 12 |
| 13 |  Gévora | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 |  Jerez | 10 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |  Plasencia | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Montijo | 10 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Atlético Pueblonuevo | 10 | -15 | 4 |
| 18 |  Guadiana | 10 | -26 | 1 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 14 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gévora vs Llerenense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Gévora vs Llerenense?
On our numbers Gévora have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Llerenense 39%.
How many goals will there be in Gévora vs Llerenense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Gévora vs Llerenense?
Gévora vs Llerenense (Tercera División RFEF Group 14) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.