Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPorreres to win ✓68% · @1.60
Double chancePorreres or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Porreres vs Alcúdia preview and prediction
The match
Porreres host Alcúdia in the Tercera División RFEF Group 11 on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT). Porreres are 5th with 18 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Alcúdia sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Porreres's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Mercadal 5–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Alcúdia's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Llosetense 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Porreres and 0.8 for Alcúdia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 44% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Porreres 68%, draw 21%, Alcúdia 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Porreres to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Porreres 2–0 Alcúdia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Porreres68%fair 1.47 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.60
Alcúdia11%fair 9.17 · @4.75
2.93Expected goals
2.16Porreres xG
0.78Alcúdia xG
44%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Porreres 2.2 – 0.8 Alcúdia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Porreres to win✓
68%
1.47
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Porreres or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Porreres ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Porreres / FT Porreres✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
11.24
–
Form
Porreres – last 6
WLLWWL
24 Oct
@ Mercadal
5–1
W
10 Oct
@ Constància
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Santanyí
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Arenal
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Inter Ibiza
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Formentera
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alcúdia – last 6
WWLLLW
24 Oct
vs Llosetense
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Mercadal
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Cardassar
2–6
L
26 Sep
@ Constància
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Santanyí
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Arenal
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Porreres and Alcúdia.
Our pick is Porreres to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Porreres vs Alcúdia?
On our numbers Porreres have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alcúdia 11%.
How many goals will there be in Porreres vs Alcúdia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Porreres vs Alcúdia?
Our predicted score is Porreres 2–0 Alcúdia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Porreres vs Alcúdia?
Porreres vs Alcúdia (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
