Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓13% · fair 7.76
Constància vs Alcúdia preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 11 sees Constància take on Alcúdia on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT). Constància are 3rd with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Alcúdia sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Constància's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Cardassar 0–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Alcúdia's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Santanyí 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Constància arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Constància and 0.7 for Alcúdia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Constància to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Constància 2–0 Alcúdia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Constància70%fair 1.42 · @1.42
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @4.50
Alcúdia11%fair 8.74 · @5.25
2.90Expected goals
2.17Constància xG
0.73Alcúdia xG
46%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Constància 2.2 – 0.7 Alcúdia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Constància to win✓
70%
1.42
1.42
Double chance
Constància or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Constància ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Constància / FT Constància✓
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
13%
7.76
–
Form
Constància – last 6
LDWLWW
20 Sep
@ Cardassar
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Santanyí
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Arenal
3–0
W
24 May
@ Peña Deportiva
1–2
L
10 May
vs Inter Ibiza
3–0
W
3 May
@ Rotlet Molinar
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alcúdia – last 6
LWWDLL
19 Sep
vs Santanyí
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Arenal
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Inter Ibiza
5–0
W
10 May
@ Mercadal
0–0
D
3 May
vs Binissalem
0–1
L
1 Apr
vs Rotlet Molinar
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Constància and Alcúdia.
Our pick is Constància to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Constància vs Alcúdia?
On our numbers Constància have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Alcúdia 11%.
How many goals will there be in Constància vs Alcúdia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Constància vs Alcúdia?
Our predicted score is Constància 2–0 Alcúdia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Constància vs Alcúdia?
Constància vs Alcúdia (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
