Binissalem vs Platges Calvià prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
2.05Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlatges Calvià to win ✓38% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Binissalem vs Platges Calvià preview and prediction
The match
Platges Calvià travel to face Binissalem in the Tercera División RFEF Group 11 on Friday 18 September (18:30 WAT). Binissalem are 11th with 13 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Platges Calvià sit 1st on 24 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Binissalem's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Cardassar 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Platges Calvià's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Manacor 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Binissalem arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Binissalem and 1.7 for Platges Calvià. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Binissalem 1–1 Platges Calvià. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Binissalem34%fair 2.91 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @2.62
Platges Calvià38%fair 2.62 · @2.60
3.25Expected goals
1.58Binissalem xG
1.67Platges Calvià xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Binissalem 1.6 – 1.7 Platges Calvià expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Platges Calvià to win✓
38%
2.62
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.44
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Platges Calvià / FT Platges Calvià✓
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.70
–
Form
Binissalem – last 6
LLWWDW
12 Sep
vs Cardassar
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Manacor
1–2
L
10 May
vs Son Cladera
2–0
W
3 May
@ Alcúdia
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs Formentera
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Cardassar
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Platges Calvià – last 6
LLWWLL
12 Sep
vs Manacor
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1–2
L
3 May
vs Manacor
4–2
W
22 Apr
@ Felanitx
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Peña Deportiva
0–4
L
4 Mar
vs Formentera
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Binissalem and Platges Calvià.
What is the prediction for Binissalem vs Platges Calvià?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Binissalem vs Platges Calvià?
On our numbers Binissalem have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Platges Calvià 38%.
How many goals will there be in Binissalem vs Platges Calvià?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Binissalem vs Platges Calvià?
Our predicted score is Binissalem 1–1 Platges Calvià, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Binissalem vs Platges Calvià?
Binissalem vs Platges Calvià (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
