Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLas Rozas to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceLas Rozas or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.49
Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 7 sees Las Rozas take on SS Reyes II on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Las Rozas are 3rd with 18 points from 10 games (in the top four), while SS Reyes II sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Las Rozas's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat RC Alcobendas 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
SS Reyes II's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Real Aranjuez 3–5 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Las Rozas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Las Rozas and 0.9 for SS Reyes II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Las Rozas 64%, draw 24%, SS Reyes II 11%.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Las Rozas to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Las Rozas 2–0 SS Reyes II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Las Rozas64%fair 1.55 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.60
SS Reyes II11%fair 8.97 · @4.60
3.19Expected goals
2.26Las Rozas xG
0.93SS Reyes II xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Las Rozas 2.3 – 0.9 SS Reyes II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Rozas to win✓
64%
1.55
1.62
Double chance
Las Rozas or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Las Rozas ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Rozas / FT Las Rozas✗
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.49
–
Form
Las Rozas – last 6
WLDWWL
7 Oct
vs RC Alcobendas
3–0
W
4 Oct
@ Trival Valderas
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Galapagar
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Leganés II
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ Cala Pozuelo
3–1
W
7 Jun
@ Trival Valderas
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
SS Reyes II – last 6
LLLWLW
4 Oct
vs Real Aranjuez
3–5
L
27 Sep
@ Pozuelo Alarcón
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Parla Escuela
0–3
L
13 Sep
@ Villanueva Pardillo
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Unión Adarve
0–2
L
10 May
@ Villaverde-Boetticher
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Rozas and SS Reyes II.
What is the prediction for Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II?
Our pick is Las Rozas to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II?
On our numbers Las Rozas have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and SS Reyes II 11%.
How many goals will there be in Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II?
Our predicted score is Las Rozas 2–0 SS Reyes II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II?
Las Rozas vs SS Reyes II (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
