Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Galapagar to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGalapagar to win ✓39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.21
Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 7 sees Rayo Vallecano II take on Galapagar on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT). Rayo Vallecano II are 14th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Galapagar sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Rayo Vallecano II's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Leganés II 1–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Galapagar's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Las Rozas 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Galapagar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Rayo Vallecano II and 1.8 for Galapagar. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rayo Vallecano II 37%, draw 24%, Galapagar 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Galapagar to win at 3.00 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rayo Vallecano II 1–1 Galapagar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rayo Vallecano II37%fair 2.71 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Galapagar39%fair 2.58 · @3.00
3.50Expected goals
1.73Rayo Vallecano II xG
1.77Galapagar xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Rayo Vallecano II 1.7 – 1.8 Galapagar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Galapagar to win✓
39%
2.58
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Galapagar / FT Galapagar✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.21
–
Form
Rayo Vallecano II – last 6
LLDLLL
19 Sep
@ Leganés II
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs Cala Pozuelo
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Móstoles
0–0
D
3 May
@ Rayo Majadahonda
0–3
L
26 Apr
vs Socuéllamos
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ RSD Alcalá
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Galapagar – last 6
DWDWWL
20 Sep
vs Las Rozas
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Real Aranjuez
5–2
W
6 Sep
vs Pozuelo Alarcón
1–1
D
10 May
vs Las Rozas
3–1
W
3 May
@ AD Parla
5–0
W
26 Apr
@ Unión Adarve
1–3
L
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayo Vallecano II and Galapagar.
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar?
On our numbers Rayo Vallecano II have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Galapagar 39%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar?
Our predicted score is Rayo Vallecano II 1–1 Galapagar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar?
Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
