Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Laredo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLaredo to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceLaredo or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Laredo vs Escobedo preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 3 sees Laredo take on Escobedo on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Laredo are 7th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Escobedo sit 15th on 7 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Laredo's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Atlético Albericia 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Escobedo's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Bezana 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Escobedo 0–0 Laredo. Across their last 2 meetings Laredo have won 1, Escobedo 0, with 1 draw and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Laredo and 0.7 for Escobedo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Laredo 61%, draw 25%, Escobedo 14%.
Safer route: Laredo or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Laredo to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Laredo or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Laredo 1–0 Escobedo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Laredo61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Escobedo14%fair 7.13 · @3.50
2.50Expected goals
1.77Laredo xG
0.73Escobedo xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Laredo 1.8 – 0.7 Escobedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Laredo or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Laredo vs Escobedo?
On our numbers Laredo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Escobedo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Laredo vs Escobedo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Laredo vs Escobedo?
Our predicted score is Laredo 1–0 Escobedo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Laredo vs Escobedo?
Laredo vs Escobedo (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
