The Tercera División RFEF Group 2 sees Covadonga take on Siero on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT). Covadonga are 1st with 23 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Siero sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Covadonga's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Colunga 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Siero's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Ceares 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Covadonga 5–0 Siero.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Covadonga and 0.6 for Siero. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Covadonga 70%, draw 21%, Siero 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Covadonga to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Covadonga 2–0 Siero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Covadonga70%fair 1.43 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.80
Siero9%fair 11.56 · @8.00
2.63Expected goals
2.03Covadonga xG
0.60Siero xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Covadonga 2.0 – 0.6 Siero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Covadonga to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Covadonga vs Siero?
On our numbers Covadonga have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Siero 9%.
How many goals will there be in Covadonga vs Siero?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Covadonga vs Siero?
Our predicted score is Covadonga 2–0 Siero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Covadonga vs Siero?
Covadonga vs Siero (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
