Value bet: Condal to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCondal to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.23
Gijón Industrial vs Condal preview and prediction
The match
Condal travel to face Gijón Industrial in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 27 September (11:00 WAT). Gijón Industrial are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Condal sit 4th on 20 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gijón Industrial's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Llanes 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Condal's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Mosconia 0–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Condal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Gijón Industrial and 1.2 for Condal. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Condal to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Gijón Industrial 1–1 Condal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gijón Industrial32%fair 3.15 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.80
Condal44%fair 2.25 · @2.50
2.17Expected goals
0.96Gijón Industrial xG
1.21Condal xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gijón Industrial 1.0 – 1.2 Condal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Condal to win✓
44%
2.25
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Condal / FT Condal✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.23
–
Form
Gijón Industrial – last 6
DLWWLL
20 Sep
@ Llanes
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Mosconia
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs San Martín
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs Ceares
2–1
W
2 Apr
@ Navarro
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Tuilla
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Condal – last 3
DWW
20 Sep
vs Mosconia
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ San Martín
4–0
W
6 Sep
vs Siero
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gijón Industrial and Condal.
What is the prediction for Gijón Industrial vs Condal?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Gijón Industrial vs Condal?
On our numbers Gijón Industrial have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Condal 44%.
How many goals will there be in Gijón Industrial vs Condal?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gijón Industrial vs Condal?
Our predicted score is Gijón Industrial 1–1 Condal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gijón Industrial vs Condal?
Gijón Industrial vs Condal (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
