Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Sporting Gijón II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Gijón II to win ✓61% · @1.83
Double chanceSporting Gijón II or draw ✓83% · fair 1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.97
Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad preview and prediction
The match
Lealtad travel to face Sporting Gijón II in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 20 September (11:00 WAT). Sporting Gijón II are 2nd with 21 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Lealtad sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sporting Gijón II's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Llanes 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Lealtad's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Praviano 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sporting Gijón II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Sporting Gijón II and 0.8 for Lealtad. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Gijón II 61%, draw 22%, Lealtad 17%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sporting Gijón II to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sporting Gijón II 1–0 Lealtad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Gijón II61%fair 1.64 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.40
Lealtad17%fair 5.99 · @3.70
2.69Expected goals
1.84Sporting Gijón II xG
0.84Lealtad xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijón II 1.8 – 0.8 Lealtad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Gijón II to win✓
61%
1.64
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Sporting Gijón II or draw✓
83%
1.20
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Sporting Gijón II ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Gijón II / FT Sporting Gijón II✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.97
–
Form
Sporting Gijón II – last 6
WWWLDW
13 Sep
vs Llanes
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Praviano
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Llanes
1–0
W
21 Aug
@ Real Avilés
2–4
L
18 Aug
vs Llanera
2–2
D
14 Aug
vs Cultural Leonesa II
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lealtad – last 6
LWLDLL
12 Sep
vs Praviano
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ L'Entregu
1–0
W
3 May
@ Salamanca UDS
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Coruxo
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs Burgos Promesas
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Gijón II and Lealtad.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad?
Our pick is Sporting Gijón II to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad?
On our numbers Sporting Gijón II have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lealtad 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijón II 1–0 Lealtad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad?
Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
