Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lalin to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLalin to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chanceLalin or draw ✗88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.18
Lalin vs Silva preview and prediction
The match
Lalin host Silva in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Lalin are 8th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Silva sit 3rd on 17 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lalin's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Portonovo SD 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Silva's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Villalbés 0–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Lalin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Lalin and 0.5 for Silva. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lalin 64%, draw 24%, Silva 12%.
Safer route: Lalin or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Lalin to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lalin or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lalin 1–0 Silva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lalin64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.00
Silva12%fair 8.21 · @4.00
2.10Expected goals
1.58Lalin xG
0.52Silva xG
44%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lalin 1.6 – 0.5 Silva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lalin to win✗
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Lalin or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lalin / FT Lalin✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.18
–
Form
Lalin – last 5
WDLWW
4 Oct
@ Portonovo SD
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Barco
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Arenteiro
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Somozas
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Celta de Vigo III
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Silva – last 6
DLLWDW
3 Oct
vs Villalbés
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Portonovo SD
2–4
L
19 Sep
vs Boiro
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Barco
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Celtiga
1–1
D
3 May
vs Noia
5–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lalin and Silva.
Our pick is Lalin or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lalin vs Silva?
On our numbers Lalin have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Silva 12%.
How many goals will there be in Lalin vs Silva?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lalin vs Silva?
Our predicted score is Lalin 1–0 Silva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Lalin vs Silva?
Lalin vs Silva (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
