Value bet: Atlético Arteixo to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelta de Vigo III to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Celta de Vigo III vs Atlético Arteixo preview and prediction
The match
Celta de Vigo III host Atlético Arteixo in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Celta de Vigo III are 17th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Atlético Arteixo sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Celta de Vigo III's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Sarriana 2–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Atlético Arteixo's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Alondras 2–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Atlético Arteixo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Celta de Vigo III and 1.1 for Atlético Arteixo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celta de Vigo III 45%, draw 21%, Atlético Arteixo 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Atlético Arteixo to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Celta de Vigo III 1–1 Atlético Arteixo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celta de Vigo III45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
Atlético Arteixo34%fair 2.90 · @3.10
2.50Expected goals
1.36Celta de Vigo III xG
1.14Atlético Arteixo xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Celta de Vigo III 1.4 – 1.1 Atlético Arteixo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celta de Vigo III to win✓
45%
2.23
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta de Vigo III / FT Celta de Vigo III✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Form
Celta de Vigo III – last 6
LDWLLL
26 Sep
@ Sarriana
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Antela
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Pontevedra II
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Lalin
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Viveiro
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Compostela
1–5
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atlético Arteixo – last 6
LWDDLW
26 Sep
vs Alondras
2–4
L
20 Sep
@ Viveiro
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Estradense
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Villalbés
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Compostela
1–2
L
31 May
vs Compostela
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celta de Vigo III and Atlético Arteixo.
What is the prediction for Celta de Vigo III vs Atlético Arteixo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Celta de Vigo III vs Atlético Arteixo?
On our numbers Celta de Vigo III have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlético Arteixo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Celta de Vigo III vs Atlético Arteixo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celta de Vigo III vs Atlético Arteixo?
Our predicted score is Celta de Vigo III 1–1 Atlético Arteixo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Celta de Vigo III vs Atlético Arteixo?
Celta de Vigo III vs Atlético Arteixo (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
