Boiro travel to face Estradense in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 4 October (17:00 WAT). Estradense are 7th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Boiro sit 1st on 23 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Estradense's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Celtiga 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Boiro's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Villalbés 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Boiro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Estradense and 1.5 for Boiro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estradense 34%, draw 26%, Boiro 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estradense 1–1 Boiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estradense34%fair 2.95 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.90
Boiro41%fair 2.47 · @2.50
2.88Expected goals
1.37Estradense xG
1.51Boiro xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Estradense 1.4 – 1.5 Boiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boiro to win✗
41%
2.47
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boiro / FT Boiro✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.38
–
Form
Estradense – last 6
LWDLLL
27 Sep
@ Celtiga
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Coruña
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Atlético Arteixo
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Sarriana
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs Pontevedra
0–5
L
1 May
@ Compostela
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Boiro – last 6
DWWWLD
27 Sep
vs Villalbés
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Silva
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Celtiga
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Coruña
3–2
W
26 Apr
@ Arosa
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Villalbés
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estradense and Boiro.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Estradense vs Boiro?
On our numbers Estradense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Boiro 41%.
How many goals will there be in Estradense vs Boiro?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estradense vs Boiro?
Our predicted score is Estradense 1–1 Boiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Estradense vs Boiro?
Estradense vs Boiro (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
