Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLalin to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.66
Lalin vs Barco preview and prediction
The match
Barco travel to face Lalin in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 27 September (17:00 WAT). Lalin are 8th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Barco sit 4th on 16 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lalin's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Arenteiro 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Barco's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Portonovo SD 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Lalin and 1.0 for Barco. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lalin 41%, draw 24%, Barco 35%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Lalin 1–1 Barco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lalin41%fair 2.45 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Barco35%fair 2.83 · @2.80
2.16Expected goals
1.13Lalin xG
1.03Barco xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lalin 1.1 – 1.0 Barco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lalin to win✗
41%
2.45
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lalin / FT Lalin✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.66
–
Form
Lalin – last 3
LWW
20 Sep
@ Arenteiro
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Somozas
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Celta de Vigo III
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Barco – last 6
WLWDWD
20 Sep
vs Portonovo SD
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Silva
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Arenteiro
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Coruña
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Noia
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Silva
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lalin and Barco.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Lalin vs Barco?
On our numbers Lalin have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barco 35%.
How many goals will there be in Lalin vs Barco?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lalin vs Barco?
Our predicted score is Lalin 1–1 Barco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lalin vs Barco?
Lalin vs Barco (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
