Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Estradense to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstradense to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceEstradense or draw ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Celtiga vs Estradense preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 1 sees Celtiga take on Estradense on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Celtiga are 14th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Estradense sit 7th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Celtiga's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Villalbés 2–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Estradense's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Coruña 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Estradense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 February 2026, finished Celtiga 2–1 Estradense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.0 for Celtiga and 2.2 for Estradense. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Estradense to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Estradense or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Celtiga 1–2 Estradense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celtiga15%fair 6.68 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Estradense63%fair 1.60 · @1.95
3.17Expected goals
1.00Celtiga xG
2.17Estradense xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Celtiga 1.0 – 2.2 Estradense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Estradense or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Celtiga vs Estradense?
On our numbers Celtiga have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Estradense 63%.
How many goals will there be in Celtiga vs Estradense?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celtiga vs Estradense?
Our predicted score is Celtiga 1–2 Estradense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Celtiga vs Estradense?
Celtiga vs Estradense (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
