Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewcastle United W to win ✗67% · @1.57
Double chanceNewcastle United W or draw ✗85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.73
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W preview and prediction
The match
The WSL Cup sees Newcastle United W take on Sunderland W on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Gateshead International Stadium.
Form guide
Newcastle United W's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Durham W 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sunderland W's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Leicester City FC W 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Sunderland W 1–1 Newcastle United W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.7 for Newcastle United W and 1.2 for Sunderland W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newcastle United W 67%, draw 18%, Sunderland W 15%.
Safer route: Newcastle United W or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Newcastle United W 2–1 Sunderland W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newcastle United W67%fair 1.49 · @1.57
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @4.00
Sunderland W15%fair 6.82 · @4.33
3.93Expected goals
2.68Newcastle United W xG
1.25Sunderland W xG
56%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Newcastle United W 2.7 – 1.2 Sunderland W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W?
On our numbers Newcastle United W have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sunderland W 15%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W?
Our predicted score is Newcastle United W 2–1 Sunderland W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W?
Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Gateshead International Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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