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Today's tips
Cup · Poland · Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Podhale Nowy Targ

WDLLW
3–1
FT

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

DDDWW

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki prediction & analysis

82%
Footrivo pick

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 56% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +86%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultDraw ✗56% · @3.30
Double chancePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.75

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki preview and prediction

The match

Podhale Nowy Targ host Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in the Cup on Tuesday 1 September, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego.

Form guide

Podhale Nowy Targ's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Olimpia Grudziądz 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Nieciecza 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Podhale Nowy Targ and 1.3 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Podhale Nowy Targ18%fair 5.47 · @2.88
Draw56%fair 1.77 · @3.30
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki25%fair 3.94 · @2.15
2.45Expected goals
1.15Podhale Nowy Targ xG
1.30Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Podhale Nowy Targ 1.1 – 1.3 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗56%1.773.30 ▲
Double chancePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw ✗82%1.221.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.992.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.44
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki / FT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki ✗23%4.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13%7.75–

Form

Podhale Nowy Targ – last 6

WDLLWD
29 Aug@ Olimpia Grudziądz3–1W
22 Augvs Resovia Rzeszów1–1D
14 Aug@ Górnik Łęczna2–5L
8 Augvs Hutnik Kraków2–5L
5 Augvs Chojniczanka Chojnice2–0W
1 Aug@ Sokół Kleczew0–0D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 6

DDDWWW
28 Augvs Nieciecza2–2D
22 Aug@ Polonia Bytom2–2D
14 Augvs Stal Rzeszów1–1D
8 Aug@ Miedz Legnica1–0W
2 Augvs Puszcza Niepołomice1–0W
25 Jul@ Lechia Gdansk3–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Podhale Nowy Targ and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Korona Kielce II0 Radomiak Radom1 18%10.00X19%5.75273%1.22 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.30 ✗
FT Chemik Bydgoszcz0 Piast Gliwice3 111%13.00X18%6.50270%1.14 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.30 ✓
FT Kluczevia Stargard2 Pogoń Siedlce2 AET 2–3 124%3.70X19%3.50257%1.80 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Siarka Tarnobrzeg3 Zaglebie Lubin2 18%7.50X19%6.50273%1.22 2Zaglebie Lubin to win 73%@1.22 ✗
FT Kluczbork1 Lechia Gdansk2 117%4.00X19%3.75264%1.67 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Polonia Środa3 Sandecja Nowy Sącz2 119%3.00X53%3.50228%2.00 X2Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw 81%@1.30 ✗
FT Stal Rzeszów3 Podbeskidzie0 144%2.50X21%3.40235%2.40 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.44 ✓
FT Wigry Suwałki1 Nieciecza5 112%4.20X25%3.75264%1.65 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our pick is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

On our numbers Podhale Nowy Targ have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 25%.

How many goals will there be in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our predicted score is Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.