Cup · Poland
Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz prediction & analysis
Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 53% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +86%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Polonia Środa 1.4 – 1.6 Sandecja Nowy Sącz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sandecja Nowy Sącz shade it despite being away from home – 28% to win, against 19% for Polonia Środa, with the draw at 53%.
Polonia Środa have taken 18 points from their last 6 matches (6W 0D 0L), scoring 3.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Sandecja Nowy Sącz have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. Polonia Środa come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.4 for Polonia Środa, 1.6 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
Our pick is Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is better than our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Draw at 3.50 is our value angle (53% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Draw ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | 3.50 ▲ |
| Double chance | Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw ✗ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.30 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.51 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sandecja Nowy Sącz / FT Sandecja Nowy Sącz ✗ | 25% | 3.94 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–1 ✗ | 11% | 8.88 | – |
Form
Polonia Środa – last 6
| 28 Aug | vs Gedania Gdansk | 4–3 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Lipno Stęszew | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Aug | vs Stargard Szczeciński | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | @ Chemik Bydgoszcz | 4–1 | W |
| 7 Aug | vs Victoria Września | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Bałtyk Koszalin | 3–0 | W |
Sandecja Nowy Sącz – last 6
| 28 Aug | @ Resovia Rzeszów | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Górnik Łęczna | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Świt Skolwin | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Avia Świdnik | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Aug | vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 3–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | vs Chojniczanka Chojnice | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Środa and Sandecja Nowy Sącz.
More Cup predictions
League hub
Korona Kielce II0
Radomiak Radom1
Podhale Nowy Targ3
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1
Chemik Bydgoszcz0
Piast Gliwice3
Kluczevia Stargard2
Pogoń Siedlce2
Siarka Tarnobrzeg3
Zaglebie Lubin2
Kluczbork1
Lechia Gdansk2
Stal Rzeszów3
Podbeskidzie0
Wigry Suwałki1
Nieciecza5Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
Our pick is Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
On our numbers Polonia Środa have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Sandecja Nowy Sącz 28%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.