Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSəbail to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.84
Xankəndi FK vs Səbail preview and prediction
The match
Xankəndi FK host Səbail in the Birinci Dasta on Thursday 3 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Xankəndi FK are 7th with 6 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Səbail sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Səbail's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Mingəçevir 1–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Xankəndi FK and 1.8 for Səbail. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Xankəndi FK 21%, draw 17%, Səbail 61%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Səbail to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Xankəndi FK 0–1 Səbail. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xankəndi FK21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @3.40
Səbail61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
2.62Expected goals
0.87Xankəndi FK xG
1.75Səbail xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Xankəndi FK 0.9 – 1.8 Səbail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Səbail to win✗
61%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Səbail ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Səbail / FT Səbail✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.84
–
Form
Xankəndi FK
No recent results on record.
Səbail – last 6
LWWWWL
22 May
@ Mingəçevir
1–4
L
6 May
@ Zaqatala
3–0
W
30 Apr
vs Cəbrayıl
6–0
W
23 Apr
@ Difai Ağsu
4–0
W
16 Apr
vs Şimal
4–0
W
9 Apr
@ Safa Baku
1–2
L
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xankəndi FK and Səbail.
Our pick is Səbail to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Xankəndi FK vs Səbail?
On our numbers Xankəndi FK have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Səbail 61%.
How many goals will there be in Xankəndi FK vs Səbail?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xankəndi FK vs Səbail?
Our predicted score is Xankəndi FK 0–1 Səbail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Xankəndi FK vs Səbail?
Xankəndi FK vs Səbail (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
