Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Karvan to win @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarvan to win ✓52% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.30
Baku Sportinq vs Karvan preview and prediction
The match
Karvan travel to face Baku Sportinq in the Birinci Dasta on Thursday 3 September (14:00 WAT). Baku Sportinq are 10th with 1 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Karvan sit 4th on 13 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Baku Sportinq's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Şahdağ 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Karvan's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Imisli FK 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Baku Sportinq arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.9 for Baku Sportinq and 1.4 for Karvan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baku Sportinq 26%, draw 22%, Karvan 52%.
Value angle: Karvan to win at 2.25 – 52% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Baku Sportinq 0–1 Karvan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baku Sportinq26%fair 3.84 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Karvan52%fair 1.93 · @2.25
2.36Expected goals
0.91Baku Sportinq xG
1.44Karvan xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–112%
0–210%
0–09%
1–29%
1–09%
From our goals model: Baku Sportinq 0.9 – 1.4 Karvan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karvan to win✓
52%
1.93
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karvan / FT Karvan✓
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.30
–
Form
Baku Sportinq – last 6
DWDLDW
22 May
@ Şahdağ
1–1
D
7 May
@ Cəbrayıl
3–2
W
30 Apr
vs Difai Ağsu
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Şimal
0–1
L
16 Apr
vs Safa Baku
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs MOIK
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Karvan – last 6
DLLLWL
24 May
@ Imisli FK
1–1
D
10 May
@ Turan
0–1
L
5 May
vs Neftchi Baku
0–3
L
27 Apr
@ Sabah FA
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs Kapaz
4–1
W
6 Apr
@ Qarabag
0–8
L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baku Sportinq and Karvan.
What is the prediction for Baku Sportinq vs Karvan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Baku Sportinq vs Karvan?
On our numbers Baku Sportinq have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Karvan 52%.
How many goals will there be in Baku Sportinq vs Karvan?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baku Sportinq vs Karvan?
Our predicted score is Baku Sportinq 0–1 Karvan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Baku Sportinq vs Karvan?
Baku Sportinq vs Karvan (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
