Value bet: El Gouna FC to win @ 3.80 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Ittihad to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.88
Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC preview and prediction
The match
El Gouna FC travel to Alexandria Stadium in the Premier League on Tuesday 13 October (18:00 WAT) to face Al Ittihad. Al Ittihad are 5th with 14 points from 8 games (in the top half), while El Gouna FC sit 20th on 3 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Al Ittihad's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Wadi Degla 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Gouna FC's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to El Mokawloon 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Al Ittihad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Al Ittihad and 0.8 for El Gouna FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Ittihad 44%, draw 26%, El Gouna FC 30%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.55.
Value angle: El Gouna FC to win at 3.80 – 30% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Al Ittihad 1–0 El Gouna FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Ittihad44%fair 2.26 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.62
El Gouna FC30%fair 3.31 · @3.80
1.80Expected goals
1.03Al Ittihad xG
0.77El Gouna FC xG
45%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–017%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Al Ittihad 1.0 – 0.8 El Gouna FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ittihad to win✓
44%
2.26
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.88
–
Form
Al Ittihad – last 6
LWWWLD
8 Oct
vs Wadi Degla
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ AL Masry
2–0
W
7 Sep
vs Asyut Petrol
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Abu Qair Semad
2–0
W
28 Aug
vs Ceramica Cleopatra
1–3
L
21 Aug
@ Zamalek SC
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
El Gouna FC – last 6
LLLLDD
8 Oct
@ El Mokawloon
0–2
L
16 Sep
vs Petrojet
1–2
L
9 Sep
@ Pyramids FC
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs El Mokawloon
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Olympic El Qanah
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Future FC
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ittihad and El Gouna FC.
What is the prediction for Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC?
On our numbers Al Ittihad have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and El Gouna FC 30%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC?
Our predicted score is Al Ittihad 1–0 El Gouna FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC?
Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandria Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
