Value bet: Asyut Petrol to win @ 3.75 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAbu Qair Semad to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.03
Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol preview and prediction
The match
Abu Qair Semad host Asyut Petrol in the Premier League on Tuesday 13 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Borg El Arab Stadium. Abu Qair Semad are 19th with 4 points from 8 games (in the bottom three), while Asyut Petrol sit 18th on 6 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Abu Qair Semad's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Ghazl El Mehalla 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Asyut Petrol's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Al Ahly 0–5 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.9 for Abu Qair Semad and 0.6 for Asyut Petrol. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Abu Qair Semad 46%, draw 24%, Asyut Petrol 30%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Asyut Petrol to win at 3.75 – 30% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Abu Qair Semad 0–0 Asyut Petrol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Abu Qair Semad46%fair 2.16 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.80
Asyut Petrol30%fair 3.37 · @3.75
1.50Expected goals
0.89Abu Qair Semad xG
0.61Asyut Petrol xG
47%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
1–020%
0–114%
1–112%
2–09%
2–15%
From our goals model: Abu Qair Semad 0.9 – 0.6 Asyut Petrol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Abu Qair Semad to win✗
46%
2.16
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.03
–
Form
Abu Qair Semad – last 6
DLLLLW
8 Oct
@ Ghazl El Mehalla
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Al Ahly
0–2
L
8 Sep
@ Zamalek SC
0–2
L
2 Sep
vs Al Ittihad
0–2
L
27 Aug
@ Pyramids FC
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs National Bank of Egypt
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Asyut Petrol – last 6
LLLLDD
7 Oct
vs Al Ahly
0–5
L
15 Sep
vs Future FC
0–2
L
7 Sep
@ Al Ittihad
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs National Bank of Egypt
0–1
L
26 Aug
@ Smouha SC
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Petrojet
1–1
D
0.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Abu Qair Semad and Asyut Petrol.
What is the prediction for Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol?
On our numbers Abu Qair Semad have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Asyut Petrol 30%.
How many goals will there be in Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol?
Our predicted score is Abu Qair Semad 0–0 Asyut Petrol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol?
Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Borg El Arab Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
