Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: AL Masry to win @ 1.98 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAL Masry to win ✓55% · @1.98
Double chanceAL Masry or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.96
AL Masry vs Smouha SC preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees AL Masry take on Smouha SC on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Borg El Arab Stadium. AL Masry are 12th with 9 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Smouha SC sit 9th on 11 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AL Masry's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Enppi 3–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Smouha SC's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Pyramids FC 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
AL Masry arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 April 2026, finished Smouha SC 0–1 AL Masry.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.4 for AL Masry and 0.7 for Smouha SC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AL Masry 55%, draw 24%, Smouha SC 21%.
Safer route: AL Masry or draw (79%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.60.
Value angle: AL Masry to win at 1.98 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AL Masry or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: AL Masry 1–0 Smouha SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AL Masry55%fair 1.80 · @1.98
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.92
Smouha SC21%fair 4.79 · @4.10
2.13Expected goals
1.41AL Masry xG
0.72Smouha SC xG
48%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
1–112%
0–012%
2–012%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: AL Masry 1.4 – 0.7 Smouha SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is AL Masry or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win AL Masry vs Smouha SC?
On our numbers AL Masry have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Smouha SC 21%.
How many goals will there be in AL Masry vs Smouha SC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AL Masry vs Smouha SC?
Our predicted score is AL Masry 1–0 Smouha SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is AL Masry vs Smouha SC?
AL Masry vs Smouha SC (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Borg El Arab Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
