Value bet: El Mokawloon to win @ 2.80 – our chance 48% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Mokawloon to win ✗48% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.87
El Geish vs El Mokawloon preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees El Geish take on El Mokawloon on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium. El Geish are 14th with 8 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while El Mokawloon sit 7th on 11 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
El Geish's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Wadi Degla 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Mokawloon's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Future FC 3–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
El Mokawloon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for El Geish and 1.2 for El Mokawloon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Geish 27%, draw 26%, El Mokawloon 48%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.48.
Value angle: El Mokawloon to win at 2.80 – 48% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: El Geish 0–1 El Mokawloon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Geish27%fair 3.74 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.66
El Mokawloon48%fair 2.09 · @2.80
1.91Expected goals
0.76El Geish xG
1.16El Mokawloon xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: El Geish 0.8 – 1.2 El Mokawloon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Mokawloon to win✗
48%
2.09
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Mokawloon / FT El Mokawloon✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.87
–
Form
El Geish – last 6
LLWLWD
28 May
vs Wadi Degla
0–2
L
22 May
@ El Gouna FC
1–2
L
18 May
vs Pharco
1–0
W
13 May
@ Al Ittihad
0–1
L
7 May
vs Ghazl El Mehalla
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Future FC
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
El Mokawloon – last 6
WDDWDD
29 May
vs Future FC
3–1
W
18 May
vs Wadi Degla
1–1
D
13 May
@ Haras El Hodood
0–0
D
8 May
vs El Gouna FC
1–0
W
4 May
@ Pharco
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Ghazl El Mehalla
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Geish and El Mokawloon.
What is the prediction for El Geish vs El Mokawloon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win El Geish vs El Mokawloon?
On our numbers El Geish have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 26% and El Mokawloon 48%.
How many goals will there be in El Geish vs El Mokawloon?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Geish vs El Mokawloon?
Our predicted score is El Geish 0–1 El Mokawloon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is El Geish vs El Mokawloon?
El Geish vs El Mokawloon (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
