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Reserve League · Argentina

Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Racing Club Res. prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Vélez Sársfield Res. to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultVélez Sársfield Res. to win ✓66% · @1.53
Double chanceVélez Sársfield Res. or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.96

Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Racing Club Res. preview and prediction

The match

The Reserve League sees Vélez Sársfield Res. take on Racing Club Res. on Thursday 15 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Vélez Sársfield Res. are 3rd with 33 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Racing Club Res. sit 21st on 20 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Vélez Sársfield Res.'s last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Sarmiento Res. 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Racing Club Res.'s last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with River Plate Res. 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.

Vélez Sársfield Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 July 2026, finished Vélez Sársfield Res. 0–0 Racing Club Res.. Across their last 2 meetings Vélez Sársfield Res. have won 0, Racing Club Res. 0, with 2 draws and 1.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Vélez Sársfield Res. and 0.7 for Racing Club Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Vélez Sársfield Res. to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–0 Racing Club Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Vélez Sársfield Res.66%fair 1.52 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.60
Racing Club Res.10%fair 9.58 · @5.00
2.60Expected goals
1.93Vélez Sársfield Res. xG
0.67Racing Club Res. xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1.9 – 0.7 Racing Club Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVélez Sársfield Res. to win ✓66%1.521.53
Double chanceVélez Sársfield Res. or draw ✓90%1.121.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.771.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Half-time resultVélez Sársfield Res. ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vélez Sársfield Res. / FT Vélez Sársfield Res. ✓43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%6.96–

Form

Vélez Sársfield Res. – last 6

WDWWDD
8 Oct@ Sarmiento Res.1–0W
1 Octvs Argentinos Juniors Res.1–1D
22 Sepvs Ferro 24–0W
15 Sep@ Aldosivi Res.1–0W
8 Sepvs Gimnasia La Plata Res.0–0D
1 Sep@ Unión Santa Fe Res.0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Racing Club Res. – last 6

DDLWWD
6 Octvs River Plate Res.2–2D
30 Sep@ Instituto Res.2–2D
24 Sepvs Independiente Res.1–2L
15 Sep@ Sarmiento Res.1–0W
8 Sepvs Argentinos Juniors Res.4–1W
1 Sep@ Aldosivi Res.2–2D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Jul 2026Vélez Sársfield Res. v Racing Club Res.0–0
12 May 2026Racing Club Res. v Vélez Sársfield Res.1–1
Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Racing Club Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Racing Club Res.?

Our pick is Vélez Sársfield Res. to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Racing Club Res.?

On our numbers Vélez Sársfield Res. have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Racing Club Res. 10%.

How many goals will there be in Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Racing Club Res.?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Racing Club Res.?

Our predicted score is Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–0 Racing Club Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Racing Club Res.?

Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Racing Club Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.