Double chanceSan Lorenzo Res. or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.93
San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res. preview and prediction
The match
San Lorenzo Res. host Sarmiento Res. in the Reserve League on Thursday 15 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). San Lorenzo Res. are 17th with 21 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Sarmiento Res. sit 15th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
San Lorenzo Res.'s last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Argentinos Juniors Res. 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sarmiento Res.'s last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Vélez Sársfield Res. 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 May 2026, finished Sarmiento Res. 1–2 San Lorenzo Res..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for San Lorenzo Res. and 0.7 for Sarmiento Res.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Lorenzo Res. 58%, draw 24%, Sarmiento Res. 18%.
Safer route: San Lorenzo Res. or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Lorenzo Res. to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: San Lorenzo Res. 1–0 Sarmiento Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Lorenzo Res.58%fair 1.74 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Sarmiento Res.18%fair 5.50 · @4.40
2.18Expected goals
1.49San Lorenzo Res. xG
0.69Sarmiento Res. xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: San Lorenzo Res. 1.5 – 0.7 Sarmiento Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Our pick is San Lorenzo Res. to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
On our numbers San Lorenzo Res. have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sarmiento Res. 18%.
How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Our predicted score is San Lorenzo Res. 1–0 Sarmiento Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
San Lorenzo Res. vs Sarmiento Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
