Double chanceVélez Sársfield Res. or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.15
Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res. preview and prediction
The match
Argentinos Juniors Res. travel to face Vélez Sársfield Res. in the Reserve League on Thursday 1 October (19:45 WAT). Vélez Sársfield Res. are 3rd with 33 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Argentinos Juniors Res. sit 33rd on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vélez Sársfield Res.'s last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Ferro 2 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Argentinos Juniors Res.'s last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Platense Res. 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Vélez Sársfield Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Argentinos Juniors Res. 1–2 Vélez Sársfield Res..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Vélez Sársfield Res. and 0.5 for Argentinos Juniors Res.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Vélez Sársfield Res. to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–0 Argentinos Juniors Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vélez Sársfield Res.69%fair 1.46 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Argentinos Juniors Res.11%fair 9.52 · @5.50
2.17Expected goals
1.70Vélez Sársfield Res. xG
0.47Argentinos Juniors Res. xG
46%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–017%
0–011%
3–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1.7 – 0.5 Argentinos Juniors Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vélez Sársfield Res. to win✗
69%
1.46
1.53 ▲
Double chance
Vélez Sársfield Res. or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Vélez Sársfield Res. ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vélez Sársfield Res. / FT Vélez Sársfield Res.✗
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res.?
Our pick is Vélez Sársfield Res. to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res.?
On our numbers Vélez Sársfield Res. have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Argentinos Juniors Res. 11%.
How many goals will there be in Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res.?
Our predicted score is Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–0 Argentinos Juniors Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res.?
Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
