Value bet: Gimnasia Mendoza 2 to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia Mendoza 2 to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.00
Barracas Central Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2 preview and prediction
The match
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 travel to face Barracas Central Res. in the Reserve League on Thursday 1 October (19:00 WAT). Barracas Central Res. are 28th with 16 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Gimnasia Mendoza 2 sit 8th on 29 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Barracas Central Res.'s last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Deportivo Riestra Res. 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Gimnasia Mendoza 2's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Independiente Riva. Res. 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Gimnasia Mendoza 2 2–0 Barracas Central Res..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Barracas Central Res. and 1.2 for Gimnasia Mendoza 2. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Gimnasia Mendoza 2 to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Barracas Central Res. 1–1 Gimnasia Mendoza 2. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barracas Central Res.31%fair 3.25 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.00
Gimnasia Mendoza 247%fair 2.14 · @2.30
2.16Expected goals
0.92Barracas Central Res. xG
1.24Gimnasia Mendoza 2 xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Barracas Central Res. 0.9 – 1.2 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Barracas Central Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Barracas Central Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2?
On our numbers Barracas Central Res. have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gimnasia Mendoza 2 47%.
How many goals will there be in Barracas Central Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barracas Central Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2?
Our predicted score is Barracas Central Res. 1–1 Gimnasia Mendoza 2, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Barracas Central Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2?
Barracas Central Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2 (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
