Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Tigre Res. prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Unión Santa Fe Res. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Unión Santa Fe Res. to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnión Santa Fe Res. to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceUnión Santa Fe Res. or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.75
Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Tigre Res. preview and prediction
The match
Tigre Res. travel to face Unión Santa Fe Res. in the Reserve League on Wednesday 16 September (19:00 WAT). Unión Santa Fe Res. are 23rd with 18 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Tigre Res. sit 32nd on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Unión Santa Fe Res.'s last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat San Lorenzo Res. 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tigre Res.'s last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Atlético Tucumán Res. 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 April 2026, finished Tigre Res. 0–0 Unión Santa Fe Res..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Unión Santa Fe Res. and 0.6 for Tigre Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Unión Santa Fe Res. 60%, draw 26%, Tigre Res. 14%.
Safer route: Unión Santa Fe Res. or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Unión Santa Fe Res. to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Unión Santa Fe Res. or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Unión Santa Fe Res. 1–0 Tigre Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Unión Santa Fe Res.60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.90
Tigre Res.14%fair 7.17 · @4.00
2.21Expected goals
1.59Unión Santa Fe Res. xG
0.62Tigre Res. xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Unión Santa Fe Res. 1.6 – 0.6 Tigre Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Our pick is Unión Santa Fe Res. or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Tigre Res.?
On our numbers Unión Santa Fe Res. have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tigre Res. 14%.
How many goals will there be in Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Tigre Res.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Our predicted score is Unión Santa Fe Res. 1–0 Tigre Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Tigre Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
