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Reserve League · Argentina

Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res. prediction & analysis

60%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLanús Res. to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.64

Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res. preview and prediction

The match

Lanús Res. host Independiente Riva. Res. in the Reserve League on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Lanús Res. are 2nd with 36 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Independiente Riva. Res. sit 22nd on 18 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Lanús Res.'s last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Deportivo Riestra Res. 1–4 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Independiente Riva. Res.'s last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Newell's Old Boys Res. 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Lanús Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 14 April 2026, finished Independiente Riva. Res. 1–1 Lanús Res..

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Lanús Res. and 1.0 for Independiente Riva. Res.. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 60%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lanús Res. 1–1 Independiente Riva. Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Lanús Res.59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.30
Independiente Riva. Res.21%fair 4.87 · @4.50
2.91Expected goals
1.90Lanús Res. xG
1.01Independiente Riva. Res. xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Lanús Res. 1.9 – 1.0 Independiente Riva. Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLanús Res. to win ✗59%1.691.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
Half-time resultLanús Res. ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lanús Res. / FT Lanús Res. ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10%9.64–

Form

Lanús Res. – last 6

LWWWWD
10 Sep@ Deportivo Riestra Res.1–4L
1 Sepvs Belgrano Córdoba Res.3–1W
26 Aug@ Colón Res.2–0W
18 Aug@ Newell's Old Boys Res.2–1W
12 Augvs Defensa y Justicia Res.3–1W
5 Aug@ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 20–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Independiente Riva. Res. – last 6

WLDLWL
10 Sepvs Newell's Old Boys Res.1–0W
3 Sep@ Defensa y Justicia Res.0–4L
27 Augvs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 21–1D
19 Aug@ Huracán Res.0–2L
13 Augvs Ferro 22–1W
4 Aug@ Boca Juniors Res.0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Apr 2026Independiente Riva. Res. v Lanús Res.1–1
Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?

On our numbers Lanús Res. have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Independiente Riva. Res. 21%.

How many goals will there be in Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?

Our predicted score is Lanús Res. 1–1 Independiente Riva. Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?

Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.