Independiente Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 19 Aug 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultIndependiente Res. to win ✗41% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.24

Independiente Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res preview and prediction

The match

The Reserve League sees Independiente Res. take on Estudiantes La Plata Res on Wednesday 19 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Independiente Res. are 1st with 37 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Estudiantes La Plata Res sit 6th on 29 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Independiente Res.'s last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Central Córdoba SdE Res. 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.

Estudiantes La Plata Res's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Atl. Rafaela 2 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 19 March 2026, finished Estudiantes La Plata Res 1–0 Independiente Res..

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Independiente Res. and 1.3 for Estudiantes La Plata Res. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Independiente Res. 41%, draw 24%, Estudiantes La Plata Res 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Independiente Res. 1–1 Estudiantes La Plata Res. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Independiente Res.41%fair 2.46 · @2.15

Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00

Estudiantes La Plata Res35%fair 2.86 · @3.00

2.80Expected goals

1.46Independiente Res. xG

1.34Estudiantes La Plata Res xG

57%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

1–09%

2–19%

0–18%

1–28%

2–07%

From our goals model: Independiente Res. 1.5 – 1.3 Estudiantes La Plata Res expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Independiente Res. to win ✗	41%	2.46	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.76	1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.88	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.42	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Independiente Res. / FT Independiente Res. ✗	24%	4.23	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	9%	11.24	–

Form

Independiente Res. – last 6

WWWWLW

13 Aug	@ Central Córdoba SdE Res.	2–0	W
5 Aug	vs San Martín San Juan Res.	9–0	W
23 Jul	@ Independiente Riva. Res.	2–1	W
16 Jul	vs Deportivo Riestra Res.	2–1	W
27 Jun	vs Racing Club Res.	2–3	L
18 Jun	vs Belgrano Córdoba Res.	3–2	W

3.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Estudiantes La Plata Res – last 6

WWDWWW

12 Aug	vs Atl. Rafaela 2	3–1	W
7 Aug	@ Platense Res.	3–0	W
23 Jul	vs Quilmes 2	1–1	D
14 Jul	vs Colón Res.	2–0	W
19 Jun	vs Central Córdoba SdE Res.	3–2	W
10 Jun	@ San Martín San Juan Res.	4–0	W

2.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	20	15	2	3	+29	47
2	Boca Juniors Res.	20	12	3	5	+24	39
3	Racing Club Res.	21	11	6	4	+7	39
4	River Plate Res.	21	11	4	6	+9	37
5	Independiente Res.	19	11	3	5	+19	36
6	Lanús Res.	19	11	2	6	+13	35
7	Newell's Old Boys Res.	19	10	4	5	+9	34
8	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	+8	33
9	Defensa y Justicia Res.	18	9	5	4	+14	32
10	Atlético Tucumán Res.	19	9	3	7	-2	30
11	Unión Santa Fe Res.	18	7	8	3	+4	29
12	Estudiantes La Plata Res	18	8	4	6	+9	28
13	Argentinos Juniors Res.	18	7	7	4	+6	28
14	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	18	8	3	7	-2	27
15	Talleres Córdoba Res.	18	7	5	6	+6	26
16	Huracán Res.	18	7	5	6	+6	26
17	Rosario Central Res.	18	7	5	6	+3	26
18	Platense Res.	18	7	5	6	-3	26
19	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	4	7	+7	25
20	Independiente Riva. Res.	18	7	3	8	0	24
21	Instituto Res.	18	5	9	4	-1	24
22	San Lorenzo Res.	18	6	6	6	-2	24
23	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	18	6	5	7	+2	23
24	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	-3	23
25	Banfield Res.	18	6	5	7	-4	23
26	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	-3	22
27	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	18	5	4	9	-12	19
28	Colón Res.	18	5	3	10	-8	18
29	Aldosivi Res.	18	5	3	10	-11	18
30	Barracas Central Res.	18	4	5	9	-13	17
31	Sarmiento Res.	18	4	4	10	-10	16
32	Tigre Res.	18	4	4	10	-10	16
33	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	4	3	11	-10	15
34	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	-15	12
35	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	-23	11
36	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	2	2	14	-43	8

Team

Pts

+29

+24

+19

+13

Newell's Old Boys Res.

Quilmes 2

Defensa y Justicia Res.

+14

Atlético Tucumán Res.

-2

Unión Santa Fe Res.

Estudiantes La Plata Res

Argentinos Juniors Res.

Belgrano Córdoba Res.

-2

Talleres Córdoba Res.

Huracán Res.

Rosario Central Res.

Platense Res.

-3

Deportivo Riestra Res.

Independiente Riva. Res.

Instituto Res.

-1

San Lorenzo Res.

-2

Gimnasia La Plata Res.

Gimnasia Mendoza 2

-3

Banfield Res.

-4

Ferro 2

-3

Central Córdoba SdE Res.

-12

Colón Res.

-8

Aldosivi Res.

-11

Barracas Central Res.

-13

-10

-10

-10

-15

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2

-23

San Martín San Juan Res.

-43

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Independiente Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res?

On our numbers Independiente Res. have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Estudiantes La Plata Res 35%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res?

Our predicted score is Independiente Res. 1–1 Estudiantes La Plata Res, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Independiente Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res?

Independiente Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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