Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Sarmiento Res. prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Gimnasia La Plata Res. to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia La Plata Res. to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceGimnasia La Plata Res. or draw ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.69
Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Sarmiento Res. preview and prediction
The match
Sarmiento Res. travel to face Gimnasia La Plata Res. in the Reserve League on Wednesday 19 August (18:00 WAT). Gimnasia La Plata Res. are 26th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Sarmiento Res. sit 17th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gimnasia La Plata Res.'s last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Argentinos Juniors Res. 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sarmiento Res.'s last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Unión Santa Fe Res. 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sarmiento Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 March 2026, finished Sarmiento Res. 2–0 Gimnasia La Plata Res..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Gimnasia La Plata Res. and 0.5 for Sarmiento Res.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Gimnasia La Plata Res. to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gimnasia La Plata Res. 1–0 Sarmiento Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia La Plata Res.64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @2.88
Sarmiento Res.14%fair 7.03 · @3.90
1.91Expected goals
1.44Gimnasia La Plata Res. xG
0.47Sarmiento Res. xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–015%
0–015%
1–110%
3–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gimnasia La Plata Res. 1.4 – 0.5 Sarmiento Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia La Plata Res. to win✗
64%
1.57
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia La Plata Res. / FT Gimnasia La Plata Res.✗
What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Our pick is Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
On our numbers Gimnasia La Plata Res. have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sarmiento Res. 14%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia La Plata Res. 1–0 Sarmiento Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Sarmiento Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
